Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 90.481542 100.823931 111.375087 122.914271 135.149197 147.706908 161.541725
2025-02-09 73.354781 88.152848 103.902313 121.790504 141.426820 162.217064 185.785405
2025-02-16 62.619323 79.773722 98.622277 120.621188 145.356136 172.092780 202.966483
2025-02-23 55.609381 74.577014 95.998321 121.572670 150.889755 183.099675 220.824753
2025-03-02 49.342172 69.526406 92.920866 121.435942 154.693291 191.755207 235.693577
2025-03-09 44.544839 65.743336 90.907035 122.152362 159.147651 200.880224 250.865387
2025-03-16 39.415070 61.096141 87.479357 120.858541 160.974201 206.765442 262.152947
2025-03-23 36.380195 58.830167 86.730342 122.579813 166.188239 216.438668 277.691801
2025-03-30 33.849549 57.001772 86.351415 124.605451 171.651071 226.321639 293.420148
2025-04-06 30.399549 53.672882 83.856293 123.832093 173.592231 231.950761 304.105248
2025-04-13 26.572658 49.523248 80.058615 121.214011 173.109403 234.565490 311.136991
2025-04-20 25.618328 49.360665 81.442085 125.131405 180.639028 246.741390 329.464915
2025-04-27 24.248320 48.525348 81.904495 127.883749 186.783150 257.349835 346.078124
2025-05-04 21.622132 45.623804 79.422306 126.700495 187.927344 261.865890 355.406323
2025-05-11 19.246794 42.903062 77.033242 125.507723 188.953338 266.157396 364.402455
2025-05-18 17.751460 41.446660 76.327103 126.481563 192.683813 273.728224 377.334079
2025-05-25 16.060879 39.527722 74.855575 126.341635 194.923525 279.421197 387.967156
2025-06-01 14.753759 38.138291 74.071914 127.075402 198.248670 286.432211 400.191542
2025-06-08 13.027052 35.859758 71.859623 125.750193 198.820860 289.964467 408.132445
2025-06-15 12.197216 35.111478 71.893890 127.513198 203.422760 298.532249 422.252163
2025-06-22 11.499166 34.545258 72.167448 129.587652 208.424611 307.603847 437.005083
2025-06-29 10.223519 32.754739 70.463483 128.795694 209.572541 311.779938 445.697883
2025-07-06 8.682941 30.253647 67.512563 126.114301 208.111646 312.585297 450.166347